These are historical times. The most significant and autocratic leader of the Arab world has been brought down in a span of two weeks without any specific trigger that impacted the people directly. The life in Egypt before the protests began was no different from what it was on any day for the past several years. The way one country’s revolution has impacted the people of another and now of several more in the region is a telling sign of how almost every Muslim is on the brink of revolt against their leaders’ inability to bring about prosperity, justice and dignity.
Egyptians were able to succeed with sheer will against a government which until two weeks ago had complete and unequivocal support of the most powerful country in the world. The success of this revolution is a convincing argument against those in Indian polity who conveniently escape responsibility by blaming the various separatist problems on support from other countries or a handy work of gangs of criminals (Maoists). A region’s affairs are run by the people who inhabit it. There always are opportunists and influencers, but eventually it is the locals who decide there own fate. If the Indian government really intends to govern with control and efficiency it must focus on bringing about prosperity to the people who belong to the region. The government, authoritarian or democratic must “earn” the support of its populace and not worry about fighting with the outside world. If Saddam and Mubarak ruled their countries for decades without any major issues, it has to do with the fact that they really had the support of its people. The people may have supported the governments reluctantly for lack of a better alternative but it definitely does not have anything to do with the autocratic rule of fist. Never mind the western minded concept of stability as a result of democracy; earning support and trust of its people is how even the kings in ancient times have ruled there kingdoms. Opportunists exist with opportunity, and there is a lot of opportunity in the Indian system. Unfortunately there isn’t much choice and that is why we are still struggling with our issues and lagging far behind the developed world in prosperity and development.
The way almost suddenly everyone in Egypt just got influenced by the success of Tunisia’s revolution looks as if some mind-altering virus has spread in the region and is now making its way to other Arab countries. This is the stuff Hollywood Sci-Fi movies are made of. This is also the stuff that my daydreams are made of. Unfortunately for me these are for my own country and not for some far away land that I remember exists only when I see “The Mummy” for the Nth time on Star Movies. However, I have also never felt this happy for any event outside of my own country before. I feel strange feeling happy about the revolution almost as if it happened in India. Maybe because I know this is the best I can get.
With all the anti-Muslim propaganda, the scenes of hardliners protesting in Pakistan, the footage of Taliban executing people; never did I imagine ever in my life that masses of people chanting Allah O Akbar would sound pleasant. But then as I said in the beginning of this now garrulous blog, these are historical times. These are times of change.
For the Americans, Ironically the “Domino Theory” coined by them during the Vietnam war more than four decades ago comes back to haunt them this time from the most unlikely of places. Americans could have predicted the fall of almost any government in the Arab world but not Egypt. From the perspective of long term future, if this domino effect succeeds unlike the one before which Americans were able to stop even though they lost the war, it will be the beginning of the creation of a third front for them. China is already quite ahead in solidifying itself as a second front.
From a historical perspective, the Arabs and Europeans controlled much of the world before the Industrial revolution left the former far behind. Many believe this change would sink the Arabs deeper into fundamentalism, but I believe it might and more likely do the opposite and yet for the worse for the rest of the world. Beliefs which are close to ones heart maybe controlled by authoritarian regimes but it is a free and jubilant environment that enables a willing change. This change will make the Arabs only stronger. However, the way this environment has been won, it is also likely to bring about extreme nationalism, and we all know what that could lead to. A friend of mine once pointed out to me that the world map has changed quite drastically almost every 100 years, it might very well be the beginning of the next change. The last change can be referred to 1991 with the collapse of USSR. I am definitely not going to be around by 2090s, so I guess I got nothing to worry about if I do make the prophecy that we are due for a major change by then and that this event in Egypt is a stepping stone. However, leaving the political map aside, the geographical one might change sooner on account of the global climate changes.
Sometimes I wonder why did Hindus not succeed as much as the Arabs or the Christians/Europeans in spite of having a richer, far ahead of time and more complex system of governance. The Indus Valley Civilization could not do what others could even though it had the edge in terms of modernity during its time. To put it simply it could be due to the over complexity of the caste system which divided the people and did not provide a single thread to bind a huge population. Hindus lost it because they tried to solve for everything. Too many freaking gods man. Muslims and Christians with their relatively simplistic belief system ended up being better. In the end the over intelligence, the analysis-paralysis killed us. We are taught in school that the British divided us and then ruled us. Well I think we were already divided. they just came and made the most out of it.
So going back to the Egypt revolution, where is my country in all this? Nowhere. India is just just too big and diverse for its own good. But today is not the day to be gloomy. Today is the day to celebrate the success of a side which has been the underdogs for far too long. For me by not being on any particular side, it is more fun to follow this event. It is like watching a wild card win a grand slam – thrilling. And thrilled I am indeed!
To finally end this feast of weekend prolixity here is a funny yet a curt reminder of what just happened – www.ismubarakstillpresident.com